Discounted Cash Flow
Alcoa Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | — | $-400.0m | $-715.0m | — | — |
| 2017 | $11.7b | $217.0m (154.2%) | $819.0m (214.5%) | 1.9% | $1.18 |
| 2018 | $13.4b (15.0%) | $227.0m (4.6%) | $49.0m (-94.0%) | 1.7% (-9.1%) | $1.22 (3.4%) |
| 2019 | $10.4b (-22.2%) | $-1.1b (-595.6%) | $307.0m (526.5%) | -10.8% (-736.7%) | $-6.07 (-597.5%) |
| 2020 | $9.3b (-11.0%) | $-170.0m (84.9%) | $41.0m (-86.6%) | -1.8% (83.0%) | $-0.91 (85.0%) |
| 2021 | $12.2b (30.9%) | $429.0m (352.4%) | $530.0m (1192.7%) | 3.5% (292.8%) | $2.30 (352.7%) |
| 2022 | $12.5b (2.5%) | $-123.0m (-128.7%) | $342.0m (-35.5%) | -1.0% (-128.0%) | $-0.68 (-129.6%) |
| 2023 | $10.6b (-15.3%) | $-651.0m (-429.3%) | $-440.0m (-228.7%) | -6.2% (-524.6%) | $-3.65 (-436.8%) |
| 2024 | $11.9b (12.7%) | $60.0m (109.2%) | $42.0m (109.5%) | 0.5% (108.2%) | $0.26 (107.1%) |
| 2025 | $12.8b (7.9%) | $1.2b (1828.3%) | $567.0m (1250.0%) | 9.0% (1687.7%) | $4.40 (1592.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.