Discounted Cash Flow
American Airlines Group Inc.
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $40.2b | $2.7b | $793.0m | 6.7% | $4.85 |
| 2017 | $42.2b (5.0%) | $1.9b (-28.3%) | $-1.2b (-254.7%) | 4.5% (-31.7%) | $3.92 (-19.2%) |
| 2018 | $44.5b (5.5%) | $1.4b (-26.4%) | $-212.0m (82.7%) | 3.2% (-30.3%) | $3.04 (-22.4%) |
| 2019 | $45.8b (2.8%) | $1.7b (19.4%) | $-453.0m (-113.7%) | 3.7% (16.2%) | $3.80 (25.0%) |
| 2020 | $17.3b (-62.1%) | $-8.9b (-627.0%) | $-8.5b (-1776.6%) | -51.2% (-1491.2%) | $-18.36 (-583.2%) |
| 2021 | $29.9b (72.4%) | $-2.0b (77.6%) | $496.0m (105.8%) | -6.7% (87.0%) | $-3.09 (83.2%) |
| 2022 | $49.0b (63.9%) | $127.0m (106.4%) | $-373.0m (-175.2%) | 0.3% (103.9%) | $0.20 (106.5%) |
| 2023 | $52.8b (7.8%) | $822.0m (547.2%) | $1.2b (412.1%) | 1.6% (500.4%) | $1.26 (530.0%) |
| 2024 | $54.2b (2.7%) | $846.0m (2.9%) | $785.0m (-32.6%) | 1.6% (0.2%) | $1.29 (2.4%) |
| 2025 | $54.6b (0.8%) | $111.0m (-86.9%) | $-680.0m (-186.6%) | 0.2% (-87.0%) | $0.17 (-86.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.