Discounted Cash Flow
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $260.7m | $31.2m | $7.7m | 12.0% | $1.82 |
| 2017 | $382.3m (46.6%) | $74.0m (136.8%) | $17.3m (126.0%) | 19.3% (61.5%) | $3.87 (112.6%) |
| 2018 | $267.5m (-30.0%) | $-2.1m (-102.9%) | $-57.8m (-433.9%) | -0.8% (-104.1%) | $-0.11 (-102.8%) |
| 2019 | $190.9m (-28.6%) | $-66.0m (-2977.8%) | $-30.5m (47.2%) | -34.6% (-4212.8%) | $-3.31 (-2909.1%) |
| 2020 | $234.6m (22.9%) | $-58.5m (11.5%) | $-59.8m (-95.8%) | -24.9% (28.0%) | $-2.67 (19.3%) |
| 2021 | $211.6m (-9.8%) | $-54.2m (7.3%) | $-19.6m (67.2%) | -25.6% (-2.8%) | $-2.01 (24.7%) |
| 2022 | $222.8m (5.3%) | $-66.4m (-22.6%) | $-17.2m (12.2%) | -29.8% (-16.4%) | $-2.38 (-18.4%) |
| 2023 | $217.6m (-2.3%) | $-56.0m (15.6%) | $-17.0m (1.3%) | -25.8% (13.6%) | $-1.75 (26.5%) |
| 2024 | $249.4m (14.6%) | $-186.7m (-233.2%) | $-112.9m (-564.0%) | -74.9% (-190.8%) | $-4.50 (-157.1%) |
| 2025 | $455.7m (82.8%) | $-38.2m (79.5%) | $-353.6m (-213.1%) | -8.4% (88.8%) | $-0.64 (85.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.