Discounted Cash Flow
Airbnb, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $4.8b | $-674.3m | $222.7m | -14.0% | $-5.18 |
| 2020 | $3.4b (-29.7%) | $-4.6b (-579.9%) | $-629.7m (-382.7%) | -135.7% (-867.1%) | $-32.24 (-522.4%) |
| 2021 | $6.0b (77.4%) | $-352.0m (92.3%) | $2.2b (443.7%) | -5.9% (95.7%) | $-1.14 (96.5%) |
| 2022 | $8.4b (40.2%) | $1.9b (637.7%) | $3.4b (57.3%) | 22.5% (483.6%) | $2.97 (360.5%) |
| 2023 | $9.9b (18.1%) | $4.8b (153.1%) | $3.9b (14.1%) | 48.3% (114.4%) | $7.52 (153.3%) |
| 2024 | $11.1b (11.9%) | $2.6b (-44.7%) | $4.5b (16.3%) | 23.9% (-50.6%) | $4.19 (-44.3%) |
| 2025 | $12.2b (10.3%) | $2.5b (-5.2%) | $4.6b (2.8%) | 20.5% (-14.0%) | $4.10 (-2.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.