Discounted Cash Flow
Arbor Realty Trust Inc. REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $116.2m | $42.8m | $-197.6m | 36.8% | $0.83 |
| 2017 | $156.2m (34.4%) | $65.8m (53.8%) | $460.8m (333.2%) | 42.2% (14.4%) | $1.14 (37.3%) |
| 2018 | $251.8m (61.2%) | $108.3m (64.5%) | $-37.7m (-108.2%) | 43.0% (2.1%) | $1.54 (35.1%) |
| 2019 | $315.9m (25.5%) | $121.1m (11.8%) | $-226.5m (-500.3%) | 38.3% (-10.9%) | $1.30 (-15.6%) |
| 2020 | $339.5m (7.4%) | $163.4m (35.0%) | $55.2m (124.4%) | 48.1% (25.6%) | $1.44 (10.8%) |
| 2021 | $466.1m (37.3%) | $317.4m (94.3%) | $216.8m (293.1%) | 68.1% (41.5%) | $2.30 (59.7%) |
| 2022 | $948.4m (103.5%) | $284.8m (-10.3%) | $1.1b (407.1%) | 30.0% (-55.9%) | $1.72 (-25.2%) |
| 2023 | $1.3b (40.4%) | $330.1m (15.9%) | $235.9m (-78.6%) | 24.8% (-17.4%) | $1.79 (4.1%) |
| 2024 | $1.2b (-12.3%) | $223.3m (-32.4%) | $461.5m (95.7%) | 19.1% (-22.9%) | $1.18 (-34.1%) |
| 2025 | $940.0m (-19.5%) | $107.4m (-51.9%) | $372.4m (-19.3%) | 11.4% (-40.2%) | $0.56 (-52.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.