Discounted Cash Flow
Arcosa, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.5b | $89.7m | $79.6m | 6.1% | $1.84 |
| 2018 | $1.5b (-0.1%) | $75.7m (-15.6%) | $73.7m (-7.4%) | 5.2% (-15.5%) | $1.55 (-15.6%) |
| 2019 | $1.7b (18.9%) | $113.3m (49.7%) | $273.4m (271.0%) | 6.5% (25.8%) | $2.37 (52.5%) |
| 2020 | $1.9b (11.4%) | $106.6m (-5.9%) | $177.8m (-35.0%) | 5.5% (-15.6%) | $2.22 (-6.1%) |
| 2021 | $2.0b (5.2%) | $69.6m (-34.7%) | $81.4m (-54.2%) | 3.4% (-37.9%) | $1.45 (-34.8%) |
| 2022 | $2.2b (10.1%) | $245.8m (253.2%) | $36.3m (-55.4%) | 11.0% (220.7%) | $5.10 (252.4%) |
| 2023 | $2.3b (2.9%) | $159.2m (-35.2%) | $57.5m (58.4%) | 6.9% (-37.1%) | $3.28 (-35.6%) |
| 2024 | $2.6b (11.4%) | $93.7m (-41.1%) | $312.3m (443.1%) | 3.6% (-47.1%) | $1.93 (-41.3%) |
| 2025 | $2.9b (12.2%) | $208.4m (122.4%) | $175.5m (-43.8%) | 7.2% (98.2%) | $4.26 (121.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.