Discounted Cash Flow
Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $-181.3m | $6.1m | $54.0m | -3.4% | $0.07 |
| 2017 | $-176.0m (2.9%) | $199.8m (3153.1%) | $125.4m (132.2%) | -113.5% (-3251.3%) | $2.30 (3185.7%) |
| 2018 | $3.0b (1811.5%) | $-175.8m (-187.9%) | $72.6m (-42.1%) | -5.8% (94.9%) | $-2.01 (-187.4%) |
| 2019 | $3.1b (3.2%) | $108.9m (162.0%) | $48.2m (-33.6%) | 3.5% (160.1%) | $1.24 (161.7%) |
| 2020 | $2.1b (-32.7%) | $-672.1m (-717.1%) | $442.2m (817.0%) | -32.2% (-1017.5%) | $-7.65 (-716.9%) |
| 2021 | $2.3b (10.7%) | $190.6m (128.4%) | $129.7m (-70.7%) | 8.2% (125.6%) | $2.15 (128.1%) |
| 2022 | $2.6b (12.8%) | $273.1m (43.3%) | $84.4m (-34.9%) | 10.5% (27.0%) | $3.05 (41.9%) |
| 2023 | $2.9b (12.2%) | $-21.7m (-107.9%) | $38.2m (-54.7%) | -0.7% (-107.1%) | $-0.24 (-107.9%) |
| 2024 | $3.2b (7.7%) | $255.6m (1279.7%) | $-560.7m (-1567.5%) | 8.1% (1195.5%) | $2.79 (1262.5%) |
| 2025 | $3.3b (5.0%) | $-1.1b (-531.4%) | $-439.9m (21.5%) | -33.3% (-510.7%) | $-12.16 (-535.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.