Discounted Cash Flow
Axcelis Technologies Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $267.0m | $11.0m | $-11.3m | 4.1% | $0.38 |
| 2017 | $410.6m (53.8%) | $127.0m (1054.1%) | $49.0m (533.4%) | 30.9% (650.5%) | $4.11 (981.6%) |
| 2018 | $442.6m (7.8%) | $45.9m (-63.9%) | $42.2m (-13.8%) | 10.4% (-66.5%) | $1.42 (-65.5%) |
| 2019 | $343.0m (-22.5%) | $17.0m (-62.9%) | $-25.6m (-160.5%) | 5.0% (-52.1%) | $0.52 (-63.4%) |
| 2020 | $474.6m (38.4%) | $50.0m (193.4%) | $62.3m (343.6%) | 10.5% (112.1%) | $1.50 (188.5%) |
| 2021 | $662.4m (39.6%) | $98.7m (97.4%) | $141.5m (127.2%) | 14.9% (41.4%) | $2.94 (96.0%) |
| 2022 | $920.0m (38.9%) | $183.1m (85.6%) | $204.9m (44.9%) | 19.9% (33.6%) | $5.54 (88.4%) |
| 2023 | $1.1b (22.9%) | $246.3m (34.5%) | $136.2m (-33.5%) | 21.8% (9.5%) | $7.52 (35.7%) |
| 2024 | $1.0b (-10.0%) | $201.0m (-18.4%) | $128.6m (-5.6%) | 19.7% (-9.3%) | $6.17 (-18.0%) |
| 2025 | $839.0m (-17.6%) | $120.2m (-40.2%) | $107.0m (-16.8%) | 14.3% (-27.4%) | $3.81 (-38.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.