Discounted Cash Flow
Agree Realty Corp. REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $91.5m | $45.1m | $61.7m | 49.3% | $1.97 |
| 2017 | $116.6m (27.3%) | $58.1m (28.8%) | $82.2m (33.2%) | 49.9% (1.1%) | $2.09 (6.1%) |
| 2018 | $148.2m (27.1%) | $58.2m (0.1%) | $93.2m (13.4%) | 39.3% (-21.3%) | $1.80 (-13.9%) |
| 2019 | $187.5m (26.5%) | $80.1m (37.7%) | $-576.2m (-717.9%) | 42.7% (8.8%) | $1.96 (8.9%) |
| 2020 | $248.6m (32.6%) | $91.4m (14.1%) | $91.4m (115.9%) | 36.8% (-13.9%) | $1.76 (-10.2%) |
| 2021 | $339.3m (36.5%) | $122.3m (33.8%) | $-1.1b (-1351.6%) | 36.0% (-2.0%) | $1.79 (1.7%) |
| 2022 | $429.8m (26.7%) | $152.4m (24.7%) | $-1.2b (-8.2%) | 35.5% (-1.6%) | $1.84 (2.8%) |
| 2023 | $537.5m (25.1%) | $170.0m (11.5%) | $-808.4m (34.7%) | 31.6% (-10.8%) | $1.70 (-7.6%) |
| 2024 | $617.1m (14.8%) | $189.2m (11.3%) | $-442.5m (45.3%) | 30.7% (-3.0%) | $1.79 (5.3%) |
| 2025 | $718.4m (16.4%) | $204.3m (8.0%) | $504.1m (213.9%) | 28.4% (-7.2%) | $1.77 (-1.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.