Discounted Cash Flow
Analog Devices Inc.
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.4b | $861.7m | $1.2b | 25.2% | $1.66 |
| 2017 | $5.1b (49.3%) | $727.3m (-15.6%) | $908.5m (-21.2%) | 14.2% (-43.5%) | $1.77 (6.6%) |
| 2018 | $6.2b (21.4%) | $1.5b (105.6%) | $2.2b (140.8%) | 24.1% (69.4%) | $1.89 (6.8%) |
| 2019 | $6.0b (-3.4%) | $1.4b (-8.9%) | $2.0b (-9.6%) | 22.8% (-5.7%) | $3.68 (94.7%) |
| 2020 | $5.6b (-6.5%) | $1.2b (-10.4%) | $1.8b (-6.8%) | 21.8% (-4.2%) | $3.31 (-10.1%) |
| 2021 | $7.3b (30.6%) | $1.4b (13.9%) | $2.4b (29.8%) | 19.0% (-12.8%) | $3.50 (5.7%) |
| 2022 | $12.0b (64.2%) | $2.7b (97.7%) | $3.8b (57.9%) | 22.9% (20.4%) | $5.29 (51.1%) |
| 2023 | $12.3b (2.4%) | $3.3b (20.6%) | $3.6b (-5.8%) | 26.9% (17.7%) | $6.60 (24.8%) |
| 2024 | $9.4b (-23.4%) | $1.6b (-50.7%) | $3.1b (-12.2%) | 17.3% (-35.6%) | $3.30 (-50.0%) |
| 2025 | $11.0b (16.9%) | $2.3b (38.7%) | $4.3b (37.0%) | 20.6% (18.6%) | $4.59 (39.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.