Discounted Cash Flow
Archer-daniels-midland Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $62.3b | $1.3b | $593.0m | 2.1% | $2.18 |
| 2017 | $60.8b (-2.4%) | $1.6b (24.7%) | $1.2b (96.0%) | 2.6% (27.8%) | $2.80 (28.4%) |
| 2018 | $64.3b (5.8%) | $1.8b (13.5%) | $-5.6b (-584.2%) | 2.8% (7.3%) | $3.21 (14.6%) |
| 2019 | $64.7b (0.5%) | $1.4b (-23.8%) | $-455.0m (91.9%) | 2.1% (-24.2%) | $2.45 (-23.7%) |
| 2020 | $64.4b (-0.5%) | $1.8b (28.5%) | $-478.0m (-5.1%) | 2.8% (29.1%) | $3.16 (29.0%) |
| 2021 | $85.2b (32.5%) | $2.7b (52.9%) | $-893.0m (-86.8%) | 3.2% (15.4%) | $4.80 (51.9%) |
| 2022 | $101.6b (19.1%) | $4.3b (60.2%) | $2.2b (341.8%) | 4.3% (34.5%) | $7.72 (60.8%) |
| 2023 | $93.9b (-7.5%) | $3.5b (-19.7%) | $3.0b (37.4%) | 3.7% (-13.2%) | $6.44 (-16.6%) |
| 2024 | $85.5b (-8.9%) | $1.8b (-48.3%) | $1.2b (-58.6%) | 2.1% (-43.2%) | $3.66 (-43.2%) |
| 2025 | $80.3b (-6.2%) | $1.1b (-40.1%) | $4.2b (242.6%) | 1.3% (-36.2%) | $2.23 (-39.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.