Discounted Cash Flow
ADT Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | — | — | $539.0m | — | — |
| 2017 | $4.3b | $342.6m | $1.5b (171.1%) | 7.9% | $0.53 |
| 2018 | $4.6b (6.2%) | $-609.2m (-277.8%) | $1.7b (13.7%) | -13.3% (-267.5%) | $-0.81 (-252.8%) |
| 2019 | $5.1b (11.9%) | $-424.1m (30.4%) | $1.7b (3.2%) | -8.3% (37.8%) | $-0.57 (29.6%) |
| 2020 | $5.3b (3.7%) | $-632.2m (-49.0%) | $1.2b (-29.4%) | -11.9% (-43.7%) | $0.21 (136.8%) |
| 2021 | $5.3b (-0.1%) | $-340.8m (46.1%) | $1.5b (22.5%) | -6.4% (46.0%) | $-0.82 (-490.5%) |
| 2022 | $6.4b (20.5%) | $132.7m (138.9%) | $132.7m (-91.0%) | 2.1% (132.3%) | $0.38 (146.3%) |
| 2023 | $5.0b (-22.1%) | $463.0m (249.0%) | $1.5b (1016.6%) | 9.3% (348.0%) | $1.02 (168.4%) |
| 2024 | $4.9b (-1.7%) | $501.1m (8.2%) | $1.7b (16.2%) | 10.2% (10.1%) | $1.12 (9.8%) |
| 2025 | $5.1b (4.7%) | $596.0m (18.9%) | $1.7b (-0.7%) | 11.6% (13.6%) | $1.44 (28.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.