Discounted Cash Flow
Adtran Holdings, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $636.8m | $35.2m | $20.6m | 5.5% | $0.72 |
| 2017 | $666.9m (4.7%) | $23.8m (-32.3%) | $-57.1m (-377.7%) | 3.6% (-35.4%) | $0.50 (-30.6%) |
| 2018 | $529.3m (-20.6%) | $-19.3m (-181.1%) | $47.3m (182.9%) | -3.7% (-202.2%) | $-0.40 (-180.0%) |
| 2019 | $530.1m (0.1%) | $-53.0m (-173.9%) | $-12.0m (-125.3%) | -10.0% (-173.5%) | $-1.11 (-177.5%) |
| 2020 | $506.5m (-4.4%) | $2.4m (104.5%) | $-22.9m (-91.6%) | 0.5% (104.7%) | $0.05 (104.5%) |
| 2021 | $563.0m (11.2%) | $-8.6m (-463.1%) | $-2.7m (88.4%) | -1.5% (-426.7%) | $-0.18 (-460.0%) |
| 2022 | $1.0b (82.2%) | $-2.0m (76.4%) | $-61.3m (-2203.6%) | -0.2% (87.0%) | $-0.03 (83.3%) |
| 2023 | $1.1b (12.0%) | $-267.7m (-13041.3%) | $-88.7m (-44.7%) | -23.3% (-11628.2%) | $-3.41 (-11266.7%) |
| 2024 | $922.7m (-19.7%) | $-459.9m (-71.8%) | $69.1m (177.8%) | -49.8% (-114.0%) | $-5.79 (-69.8%) |
| 2025 | $1.1b (17.5%) | $-45.7m (90.1%) | $98.0m (41.9%) | -4.2% (91.5%) | $-0.52 (91.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.