Discounted Cash Flow

Advanced Energy Industries Inc.

AEIS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $483.7m $127.5m $112.5m 26.3% $3.21
2017 $671.0m (38.7%) $137.9m (8.2%) $173.7m (54.4%) 20.5% (-22.0%) $3.47 (8.1%)
2018 $718.9m (7.1%) $147.0m (6.6%) $130.9m (-24.6%) 20.5% (-0.5%) $3.76 (8.4%)
2019 $788.9m (9.7%) $64.9m (-55.8%) $23.2m (-82.3%) 8.2% (-59.8%) $1.70 (-54.8%)
2020 $1.4b (79.5%) $134.7m (107.4%) $164.8m (610.0%) 9.5% (15.6%) $3.52 (107.1%)
2021 $1.5b (2.8%) $134.7m (0.0%) $108.4m (-34.2%) 9.3% (-2.7%) $3.53 (0.3%)
2022 $1.8b (26.8%) $199.7m (48.2%) $124.7m (15.1%) 10.8% (16.9%) $5.33 (51.0%)
2023 $1.7b (-10.3%) $128.3m (-35.7%) $147.9m (18.6%) 7.7% (-28.4%) $3.42 (-35.8%)
2024 $1.5b (-10.5%) $54.2m (-57.7%) $74.0m (-50.0%) 3.7% (-52.8%) $1.45 (-57.6%)
2025 $1.8b (21.4%) $148.4m (173.7%) $125.9m (70.2%) 8.2% (125.5%) $3.95 (172.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model