Discounted Cash Flow
American Eagle Outfitters Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $3.6b | $212.4m | $204.1m | 5.9% | — |
| 2018 | $3.8b (5.1%) | $204.2m (-3.9%) | $225.0m (10.2%) | 5.4% (-8.6%) | — |
| 2019 | $4.0b (6.3%) | $261.9m (28.3%) | $267.6m (19.0%) | 6.5% (20.6%) | — |
| 2020 | $4.3b (6.8%) | $191.3m (-27.0%) | $205.1m (-23.4%) | 4.4% (-31.6%) | — |
| 2021 | $3.8b (-12.7%) | $-209.3m (-209.4%) | $74.5m (-63.7%) | -5.6% (-225.4%) | — |
| 2022 | $5.0b (33.3%) | $419.6m (300.5%) | $69.8m (-6.3%) | 8.4% (250.4%) | — |
| 2023 | $5.0b (-0.4%) | $125.1m (-70.2%) | $145.9m (109.0%) | 2.5% (-70.1%) | — |
| 2024 | $5.3b (5.4%) | $170.0m (35.9%) | $406.3m (178.4%) | 3.2% (28.9%) | — |
| 2025 | $5.3b (1.3%) | $329.4m (93.7%) | $254.3m (-37.4%) | 6.2% (91.3%) | — |
| 2026 | $5.5b (4.1%) | $192.0m (-41.7%) | $-263.7m (-203.7%) | 3.5% (-44.0%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.