Discounted Cash Flow

Aercap Holdings N.V. Foreign

AER · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $5.2b $1.0b $3.4b 20.3% $5.64
2017 $5.0b (-2.2%) $1.1b (2.8%) $3.1b (-7.1%) 21.4% (5.2%) $6.68 (18.4%)
2018 $14.5m (-99.7%) $1.0b (-5.6%) $2.8b (-9.5%) 6985.6% (32599.6%) $7.00 (4.8%)
2019 $12.4m (-14.4%) $1.1b (12.8%) $3.1b (9.3%) 9206.1% (31.8%) $8.51 (21.6%)
2020 $9.7m (-22.0%) $-298.6m (-126.1%) $2.1b (-31.4%) -3077.7% (-133.4%) $-2.34 (-127.5%)
2021 $15.7m (62.1%) $1.0b (435.1%) $3.7b (73.4%) 6362.5% (306.7%) $6.83 (391.9%)
2022 $7.0b (44501.3%) $-726.0m (-172.6%) $1.3b (-64.8%) -10.4% (-100.2%) $-3.02 (-144.2%)
2023 $7.6b (8.1%) $3.1b (531.9%) $-971.0m (-174.7%) 41.4% (499.6%) $13.99 (563.2%)
2024 $8.0b (5.5%) $2.1b (-33.1%) $-1.2b (-21.5%) 26.2% (-36.6%) $11.06 (-20.9%)
2025 $8.5b (6.5%) $3.8b (78.7%) $-681.2m (42.3%) 44.0% (67.8%) $21.78 (96.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model