Discounted Cash Flow
AES Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $13.6b | $-1.1b | $539.0m | -8.3% | $-1.72 |
| 2017 | $10.5b (-22.5%) | $-1.2b (-2.7%) | $312.0m (-42.1%) | -11.0% (-32.6%) | $-1.76 (-2.3%) |
| 2018 | $10.7b (2.0%) | $1.2b (203.6%) | $222.0m (-28.8%) | 11.2% (201.6%) | $1.82 (203.4%) |
| 2019 | $10.2b (-5.1%) | $303.0m (-74.8%) | $61.0m (-72.5%) | 3.0% (-73.5%) | $0.46 (-74.7%) |
| 2020 | $9.7b (-5.2%) | $46.0m (-84.8%) | $855.0m (1301.6%) | 0.5% (-84.0%) | $0.07 (-84.8%) |
| 2021 | $11.1b (15.3%) | $-409.0m (-989.1%) | $-214.0m (-125.0%) | -3.7% (-870.9%) | $-0.61 (-971.4%) |
| 2022 | $12.6b (13.2%) | $-546.0m (-33.5%) | $-1.8b (-757.9%) | -4.3% (-17.9%) | $-0.82 (-34.4%) |
| 2023 | $12.7b (0.4%) | $249.0m (145.6%) | $249.0m (113.6%) | 2.0% (145.4%) | $0.37 (145.1%) |
| 2024 | $12.3b (-3.1%) | $1.7b (574.3%) | $-4.6b (-1963.5%) | 13.7% (595.7%) | $2.38 (543.2%) |
| 2025 | $12.2b (-0.4%) | $910.0m (-45.8%) | $-1.6b (65.0%) | 7.4% (-45.6%) | $1.26 (-47.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.