Discounted Cash Flow

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.

AESI · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — loss_in_2025

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $0 $-0 $-8.6m
2018 $0 $-7.0m (-4355319275.0%) $-6.1m (29.3%)
2019 $12.0m $3.8m (154.5%) $4.0m (165.5%) 31.7%
2020 $136.6k (-98.9%) $-6.0m (-258.9%) $-3.4m (-185.5%) -4414.1% (-14031.1%)
2021 $172.4m (126142.3%) $4.3m (170.6%) $2.0m (158.3%) 2.5% (100.1%)
2022 $482.7m (180.0%) $217.0m (4996.4%) $116.4m (5765.0%) 45.0% (1720.2%)
2023 $614.0m (27.2%) $54.6m (-74.9%) $-66.5m (-157.1%) 8.9% (-80.2%)
2024 $1.1b (72.0%) $59.9m (9.9%) $-117.5m (-76.8%) 5.7% (-36.1%)
2025 $1.1b (3.7%) $-50.3m (-183.9%) $-30.9m (73.7%) -4.6% (-180.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

loss_in_2025

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.