Discounted Cash Flow
American Financial Group Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $6.5b | $649.0m | $1.1b | 10.0% | $7.47 |
| 2017 | $6.9b (5.6%) | $475.0m (-26.8%) | $1.8b (56.9%) | 6.9% (-30.7%) | $5.40 (-27.7%) |
| 2018 | $7.2b (4.2%) | $530.0m (11.6%) | $2.1b (15.5%) | 7.4% (7.1%) | $5.95 (10.2%) |
| 2019 | $8.2b (15.2%) | $897.0m (69.2%) | $2.5b (17.9%) | 10.9% (46.9%) | $9.98 (67.7%) |
| 2020 | $7.9b (-4.0%) | $732.0m (-18.4%) | $2.2b (-11.1%) | 9.3% (-15.0%) | $8.25 (-17.3%) |
| 2021 | $6.6b (-17.2%) | $2.0b (172.5%) | $1.7b (-21.5%) | 30.4% (229.0%) | $23.44 (184.1%) |
| 2022 | $7.0b (7.4%) | $898.0m (-55.0%) | $1.2b (-32.7%) | 12.8% (-58.1%) | $10.55 (-55.0%) |
| 2023 | $7.8b (11.2%) | $852.0m (-5.1%) | $2.0b (70.9%) | 10.9% (-14.7%) | $10.06 (-4.6%) |
| 2024 | $8.3b (6.3%) | $887.0m (4.1%) | $1.2b (-41.5%) | 10.7% (-2.1%) | $10.57 (5.1%) |
| 2025 | $8.2b (-1.8%) | $842.0m (-5.1%) | $1.5b (33.1%) | 10.3% (-3.3%) | $10.08 (-4.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.