Discounted Cash Flow

Alamos Gold Inc. Foreign

AGI · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $482.2m $-7.6m -1.6% $-0.07
2017 $542.8m (12.6%) $22.2m (392.1%) 4.1% (359.5%) $0.09 (228.6%)
2018 $651.8m (20.1%) $-38.4m (-273.0%) -5.9% (-244.0%) $-0.19 (-311.1%)
2019 $683.1m (4.8%) $128.9m (435.7%) 18.9% (420.3%) $0.25 (231.6%)
2020 $748.1m (9.5%) $218.2m (69.3%) 29.2% (54.6%) $0.37 (48.0%)
2021 $823.6m (10.1%) $2.3m (-98.9%) 0.3% (-99.0%) $-0.17 (-145.9%)
2022 $821.2m (-0.3%) $102.4m (4352.2%) $-15.2m 12.5% (4365.2%) $0.09 (152.9%)
2023 $1.0b (24.6%) $293.7m (186.8%) $121.7m (900.7%) 28.7% (130.2%) $0.53 (488.9%)
2024 $1.3b (31.6%) $502.2m (71.0%) $235.8m (93.8%) 37.3% (29.9%) $0.70 (32.1%)
2025 $1.8b (34.3%) $1.1b (117.0%) $271.1m (15.0%) 60.2% (61.6%) $2.11 (201.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model