Discounted Cash Flow
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $311.9m | $64.2m | $208.6m | 20.6% | $6.12 |
| 2017 | $400.5m (28.4%) | $71.3m (11.1%) | $175.0m (-16.1%) | 17.8% (-13.5%) | $6.73 (10.0%) |
| 2018 | $544.3m (35.9%) | $94.9m (33.1%) | $200.0m (14.3%) | 17.4% (-2.1%) | $8.91 (32.4%) |
| 2019 | $645.1m (18.5%) | $93.7m (-1.3%) | $-19.7m (-109.8%) | 14.5% (-16.7%) | $8.76 (-1.7%) |
| 2020 | $503.5m (-21.9%) | $89.2m (-4.8%) | $-94.5m (-380.0%) | 17.7% (22.0%) | $8.31 (-5.1%) |
| 2021 | $424.8m (-15.6%) | $107.6m (20.6%) | $436.4m (561.6%) | 25.3% (43.0%) | $10.00 (20.3%) |
| 2022 | $716.8m (68.8%) | $151.0m (40.3%) | $809.3m (85.4%) | 21.1% (-16.8%) | $14.00 (40.0%) |
| 2023 | $1.4b (94.2%) | $172.8m (14.5%) | $375.8m (-53.6%) | 12.4% (-41.1%) | $15.97 (14.1%) |
| 2024 | $1.6b (15.2%) | $180.4m (4.4%) | $612.6m (63.0%) | 11.3% (-9.4%) | $16.59 (3.9%) |
| 2025 | $1.6b (0.5%) | $182.5m (1.1%) | $80.1m (-86.9%) | 11.3% (0.6%) | $16.73 (0.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.