Discounted Cash Flow
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Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
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%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.7b | $881.0m | $-141.0m | 52.5% | $6.61 |
| 2017 | $1.7b (3.7%) | $730.0m (-17.1%) | $433.0m (407.1%) | 42.0% (-20.1%) | $6.05 (-8.5%) |
| 2018 | $1.0b (-42.4%) | $521.0m (-28.6%) | $462.0m (6.7%) | 52.0% (23.9%) | $4.73 (-21.8%) |
| 2019 | $22.0m (-97.8%) | $402.0m (-22.8%) | $-509.0m (-210.2%) | 1827.3% (3414.3%) | $4.04 (-14.6%) |
| 2020 | $89.0m (304.5%) | $362.0m (-10.0%) | $-853.0m (-67.6%) | 406.7% (-77.7%) | $4.22 (4.5%) |
| 2021 | $88.0m (-1.1%) | $389.0m (7.5%) | $-1.9b (-127.1%) | 442.0% (8.7%) | $5.29 (25.4%) |
| 2022 | $93.0m (5.7%) | $124.0m (-68.1%) | $124.0m (106.4%) | 133.3% (-69.8%) | $1.95 (-63.1%) |
| 2023 | $53.0m (-43.0%) | $739.0m (496.0%) | $461.0m (271.8%) | 1394.3% (945.8%) | $12.54 (543.1%) |
| 2024 | $0 (-100.0%) | $376.0m (-49.1%) | $47.0m (-89.8%) | — | $7.01 (-44.1%) |
| 2025 | $0 | $503.0m (33.8%) | $259.0m (451.1%) | — | $10.39 (48.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.