Discounted Cash Flow
Argan Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $675.0m | $70.3m | $256.2m | 10.4% | $4.67 |
| 2018 | $892.8m (32.3%) | $72.0m (2.4%) | $-77.6m (-130.3%) | 8.1% (-22.6%) | $4.64 (-0.6%) |
| 2019 | $482.2m (-46.0%) | $52.0m (-27.7%) | $-120.9m (-55.8%) | 10.8% (33.8%) | $3.34 (-28.0%) |
| 2020 | $239.0m (-50.4%) | $-42.7m (-182.0%) | $46.5m (138.5%) | -17.9% (-265.5%) | $-2.73 (-181.8%) |
| 2021 | $392.2m (64.1%) | $23.9m (155.9%) | $173.0m (272.0%) | 6.1% (134.0%) | $1.52 (155.7%) |
| 2022 | $509.4m (29.9%) | $38.2m (60.3%) | $27.0m (-84.4%) | 7.5% (23.5%) | $2.43 (59.9%) |
| 2023 | $455.0m (-10.7%) | $33.1m (-13.5%) | $-33.4m (-223.9%) | 7.3% (-3.1%) | $2.35 (-3.4%) |
| 2024 | $573.3m (26.0%) | $32.4m (-2.2%) | $114.1m (441.3%) | 5.6% (-22.4%) | $2.42 (3.0%) |
| 2025 | $874.2m (52.5%) | $85.5m (164.1%) | $161.0m (41.1%) | 9.8% (73.2%) | $6.35 (162.5%) |
| 2026 | $944.6m (8.1%) | $137.8m (61.2%) | $410.8m (155.2%) | 14.6% (49.2%) | $10.00 (57.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.