Discounted Cash Flow

Agilysys Inc.

AGYS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $127.7m $-11.7m $-725.0k -9.2%
2018 $127.4m (-0.2%) $-8.3m (28.8%) $734.0k (201.2%) -6.6% (28.6%)
2019 $140.8m (10.6%) $-13.2m (-57.7%) $3.9m (434.5%) -9.3% (-42.6%)
2020 $160.8m (14.1%) $-34.1m (-158.8%) $7.2m (82.4%) -21.2% (-126.7%) $-1.47
2021 $137.2m (-14.7%) $-23.6m (30.7%) $27.0m (277.6%) -17.2% (18.8%) $-1.01 (31.3%)
2022 $162.6m (18.6%) $4.6m (119.7%) $27.3m (1.0%) 2.9% (116.6%) $0.19 (118.8%)
2023 $198.1m (21.8%) $12.7m (174.6%) $27.2m (-0.2%) 6.4% (125.5%) $0.52 (173.7%)
2024 $237.5m (19.9%) $85.0m (566.8%) $40.1m (47.1%) 35.8% (456.2%) $3.31 (536.5%)
2025 $275.6m (16.1%) $23.2m (-72.7%) $52.3m (30.7%) 8.4% (-76.5%) $0.84 (-74.6%)
2026 $319.3m (15.9%) $38.8m (67.0%) $68.1m (30.2%) 12.1% (44.2%) $1.39 (65.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model