Discounted Cash Flow
Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc. REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.5b | $-46.3m | $175.1m | -3.1% | $-0.95 |
| 2017 | $1.4b (-3.5%) | $-67.0m (-44.8%) | $207.4m (18.5%) | -4.7% (-50.1%) | $-1.30 (-36.8%) |
| 2018 | $1.4b (-0.6%) | $-127.0m (-89.5%) | $181.6m (-12.5%) | -8.9% (-90.6%) | $-1.75 (-34.6%) |
| 2019 | $1.5b (5.0%) | $-113.6m (10.5%) | $177.2m (-2.4%) | -7.6% (14.8%) | $-1.58 (9.7%) |
| 2020 | $508.2m (-66.2%) | $-543.9m (-378.6%) | $-149.5m (-184.4%) | -107.0% (-1315.2%) | $-33.00 (-1988.6%) |
| 2021 | $805.4m (58.5%) | $-267.0m (50.9%) | $-144.3m (3.5%) | -33.2% (69.0%) | $-12.37 (62.5%) |
| 2022 | $1.2b (54.1%) | $-139.8m (47.6%) | $39.2m (127.2%) | -11.3% (66.0%) | $-4.46 (63.9%) |
| 2023 | $1.4b (10.2%) | $-178.5m (-27.7%) | $13.8m (-64.8%) | -13.1% (-15.8%) | $-5.61 (-25.8%) |
| 2024 | $1.2b (-14.3%) | $-60.3m (66.2%) | $-23.8m (-272.5%) | -5.1% (60.6%) | $-17.54 (-212.7%) |
| 2025 | $1.1b (-5.8%) | $-179.8m (-198.2%) | $-15.7m (34.1%) | -16.3% (-216.6%) | $-35.99 (-105.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.