Discounted Cash Flow
Aifu Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $677.0m | $3.6m | $1.6m | 0.5% | $0.02 |
| 2017 | $628.4m (-7.2%) | $10.2m (186.0%) | $3.0m (84.4%) | 1.6% (208.1%) | $0.06 (200.0%) |
| 2018 | $3.5b (452.4%) | $91.3m (793.8%) | $74.2m (2384.3%) | 2.6% (61.8%) | $0.49 (716.7%) |
| 2019 | $532.3m (-84.7%) | $4.1m (-95.5%) | $3.4m (-95.5%) | 0.8% (-70.8%) | $0.02 (-95.9%) |
| 2020 | $500.9m (-5.9%) | $6.3m (53.0%) | $8.8m (160.3%) | 1.3% (62.6%) | $0.04 (100.0%) |
| 2021 | $513.3m (2.5%) | $6.0m (-3.6%) | $2.2m (-74.8%) | 1.2% (-6.0%) | $0.04 (0.0%) |
| 2022 | $403.3m (-21.4%) | $2.2m (-64.4%) | $1.3m (-41.9%) | 0.5% (-54.6%) | $0.01 (-75.0%) |
| 2023 | $450.5m (11.7%) | $5.8m (171.7%) | $1.9m (43.7%) | 1.3% (143.3%) | $0.04 (300.0%) |
| 2024 | $247.8m (-45.0%) | $9.2m (57.8%) | $2.7m (47.2%) | 3.7% (186.8%) | $0.06 (50.0%) |
| 2025 | $79.6m (-67.9%) | $-48.2m (-622.0%) | $-415.0k (-115.2%) | -60.5% (-1725.4%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.