Discounted Cash Flow
AAR Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.7b | $47.7m | $-56.3m | 2.9% | $1.37 |
| 2017 | $1.8b (6.3%) | $56.5m (18.4%) | $-11.8m (79.0%) | 3.2% (11.4%) | $1.66 (21.2%) |
| 2018 | $1.7b (-1.1%) | $15.6m (-72.4%) | $42.3m (458.5%) | 0.9% (-72.1%) | $0.44 (-73.5%) |
| 2019 | $2.1b (17.4%) | $7.5m (-51.9%) | $50.0m (18.2%) | 0.4% (-59.0%) | $0.20 (-54.5%) |
| 2020 | $2.1b (1.0%) | $4.4m (-41.3%) | $-59.7m (-219.4%) | 0.2% (-41.9%) | $0.12 (-40.0%) |
| 2021 | $1.7b (-20.3%) | $35.8m (713.6%) | $93.9m (257.3%) | 2.2% (920.3%) | $1.01 (741.7%) |
| 2022 | $1.8b (10.1%) | $78.7m (119.8%) | $57.9m (-38.3%) | 4.3% (99.6%) | $2.20 (117.8%) |
| 2023 | $2.0b (9.4%) | $90.2m (14.6%) | $-6.2m (-110.7%) | 4.5% (4.8%) | $2.56 (16.4%) |
| 2024 | $2.3b (16.5%) | $46.3m (-48.7%) | $13.9m (324.2%) | 2.0% (-55.9%) | $1.30 (-49.2%) |
| 2025 | $2.8b (19.9%) | $12.5m (-73.0%) | $1.4m (-89.9%) | 0.4% (-77.5%) | $0.35 (-73.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.