Discounted Cash Flow
Alcon Inc. Foreign
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $7.2b | $2.5b | $2.1b | 34.5% | $7.27 |
| 2017 | $6.8b (-5.5%) | $-127.0m (-105.1%) | $803.0m (-61.1%) | -1.9% (-105.4%) | $0.52 (-92.8%) |
| 2018 | $7.2b (5.4%) | $-300.0m (-136.2%) | $616.0m (-23.3%) | -4.2% (-124.1%) | $-0.46 (-188.5%) |
| 2019 | $7.5b (5.0%) | $-332.0m (-10.7%) | $367.0m (-40.4%) | -4.4% (-5.4%) | $-1.34 (-191.3%) |
| 2020 | $6.8b (-9.0%) | $-635.0m (-91.3%) | $344.0m (-6.3%) | -9.3% (-110.2%) | $-1.09 (18.7%) |
| 2021 | $8.3b (21.3%) | $418.0m (165.8%) | $645.0m (87.5%) | 5.0% (154.3%) | $0.77 (170.6%) |
| 2022 | $8.7b (5.1%) | $463.0m (10.8%) | $581.0m (-9.9%) | 5.3% (5.4%) | $0.68 (-11.7%) |
| 2023 | $9.5b (8.5%) | $832.0m (79.7%) | $730.0m (25.6%) | 8.8% (65.7%) | $1.98 (191.2%) |
| 2024 | $9.9b (4.8%) | $1.3b (51.0%) | $1.6b (119.7%) | 12.7% (44.0%) | $2.06 (4.0%) |
| 2025 | $10.4b (4.9%) | $980.0m (-22.0%) | $1.6b (-0.6%) | 9.4% (-25.7%) | $1.99 (-3.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.