Discounted Cash Flow
Alamo Group Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $844.7m | $40.0m | $65.8m | 4.7% | $3.50 |
| 2017 | $912.4m (8.0%) | $44.3m (10.7%) | $57.3m (-13.0%) | 4.9% (2.5%) | $3.84 (9.7%) |
| 2018 | $1.0b (10.6%) | $73.5m (65.8%) | $-13.7m (-123.9%) | 7.3% (50.0%) | $6.30 (64.1%) |
| 2019 | $1.1b (10.9%) | $62.9m (-14.4%) | $57.5m (520.2%) | 5.6% (-22.8%) | $5.36 (-14.9%) |
| 2020 | $1.2b (4.0%) | $56.6m (-10.0%) | $166.5m (189.6%) | 4.9% (-13.4%) | $4.81 (-10.3%) |
| 2021 | $1.3b (14.7%) | $80.2m (41.7%) | $24.4m (-85.3%) | 6.0% (23.6%) | $6.78 (41.0%) |
| 2022 | $1.5b (13.4%) | $101.9m (27.0%) | $-16.6m (-168.1%) | 6.7% (12.0%) | $8.58 (26.5%) |
| 2023 | $1.7b (11.6%) | $136.2m (33.6%) | $93.4m (662.3%) | 8.1% (19.7%) | $11.42 (33.1%) |
| 2024 | $1.6b (-3.6%) | $115.9m (-14.9%) | $184.8m (97.8%) | 7.1% (-11.7%) | $9.69 (-15.1%) |
| 2025 | $1.6b (-1.5%) | $103.8m (-10.5%) | $146.9m (-20.5%) | 6.5% (-9.1%) | $8.64 (-10.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.