Discounted Cash Flow
Allegiant Travel Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.4b | $219.6m | $147.1m | 16.1% | $13.23 |
| 2017 | $1.5b (10.3%) | $194.9m (-11.2%) | $-177.3m (-220.5%) | 13.0% (-19.6%) | $11.94 (-9.8%) |
| 2018 | $1.5b (2.0%) | $161.8m (-17.0%) | $21.8m (112.3%) | 10.5% (-18.6%) | $10.02 (-16.1%) |
| 2019 | $1.7b (9.7%) | $232.1m (43.5%) | $-64.6m (-396.0%) | 13.8% (30.7%) | $14.27 (42.4%) |
| 2020 | $902.2m (-46.4%) | $-184.1m (-179.3%) | $-46.5m (28.0%) | -20.4% (-247.9%) | $-11.53 (-180.8%) |
| 2021 | $1.6b (75.0%) | $151.9m (182.5%) | $294.6m (733.0%) | 9.6% (147.1%) | $8.69 (175.4%) |
| 2022 | $2.1b (35.4%) | $2.5m (-98.4%) | $-131.6m (-144.7%) | 0.1% (-98.8%) | $0.14 (-98.4%) |
| 2023 | $2.3b (8.7%) | $117.6m (4617.0%) | $-105.2m (20.1%) | 5.1% (4238.3%) | $6.32 (4414.3%) |
| 2024 | $2.2b (-4.6%) | $-240.2m (-304.3%) | $38.3m (136.4%) | -10.8% (-314.2%) | $-13.49 (-313.4%) |
| 2025 | $2.3b (4.8%) | $-44.7m (81.4%) | $75.1m (96.1%) | -1.9% (82.3%) | $-2.48 (81.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.