Discounted Cash Flow
Allegion Plc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.2b | $229.1m | $335.0m | 10.2% | $2.39 |
| 2017 | $2.4b (7.6%) | $273.3m (19.3%) | $297.9m (-11.1%) | 11.3% (10.9%) | $2.87 (20.1%) |
| 2018 | $2.7b (13.4%) | $434.9m (59.1%) | $408.7m (37.2%) | 15.9% (40.3%) | $4.58 (59.6%) |
| 2019 | $2.9b (4.5%) | $401.8m (-7.6%) | $422.6m (3.4%) | 14.1% (-11.6%) | $4.29 (-6.3%) |
| 2020 | $2.7b (-4.7%) | $314.3m (-21.8%) | $443.2m (4.9%) | 11.6% (-17.9%) | $3.41 (-20.5%) |
| 2021 | $2.9b (5.4%) | $483.0m (53.7%) | $443.2m (0.0%) | 16.8% (45.8%) | $5.37 (57.5%) |
| 2022 | $3.3b (14.1%) | $458.0m (-5.2%) | $395.5m (-10.8%) | 14.0% (-16.9%) | $5.20 (-3.2%) |
| 2023 | $3.7b (11.6%) | $540.4m (18.0%) | $516.4m (30.6%) | 14.8% (5.7%) | $6.15 (18.3%) |
| 2024 | $3.8b (3.3%) | $597.5m (10.6%) | $582.9m (12.9%) | 15.8% (7.0%) | $6.85 (11.4%) |
| 2025 | $4.1b (7.8%) | $643.8m (7.7%) | $685.7m (17.6%) | 15.8% (-0.1%) | $7.48 (9.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.