Discounted Cash Flow
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $261.1m | $10.2m | $8.4m | 3.9% | $0.22 |
| 2017 | $338.9m (29.8%) | $29.3m (188.1%) | $46.7m (453.3%) | 8.6% (121.9%) | $0.63 (186.4%) |
| 2018 | $420.5m (24.1%) | $21.5m (-26.4%) | $49.7m (6.4%) | 5.1% (-40.7%) | $0.45 (-28.6%) |
| 2019 | $502.4m (19.5%) | $53.5m (148.7%) | $27.8m (-44.1%) | 10.7% (108.2%) | $1.11 (146.7%) |
| 2020 | $618.0m (23.0%) | $77.9m (45.4%) | $85.9m (209.3%) | 12.6% (18.2%) | $1.59 (43.2%) |
| 2021 | $749.0m (21.2%) | $52.3m (-32.9%) | $92.1m (7.2%) | 7.0% (-44.6%) | $1.05 (-34.0%) |
| 2022 | $842.6m (12.5%) | $56.3m (7.8%) | $28.3m (-69.3%) | 6.7% (-4.2%) | $1.13 (7.6%) |
| 2023 | $881.7m (4.6%) | $81.0m (43.9%) | $128.4m (354.5%) | 9.2% (37.5%) | $1.63 (44.2%) |
| 2024 | $939.8m (6.6%) | $124.1m (53.1%) | $196.3m (52.8%) | 13.2% (43.7%) | $2.50 (53.4%) |
| 2025 | $1.0b (7.6%) | $132.6m (6.8%) | $137.0m (-30.2%) | 13.1% (-0.7%) | $2.66 (6.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.