Discounted Cash Flow
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.8b | $214.9m | $520.2m | 11.7% | $1.28 |
| 2017 | $2.3b (22.9%) | $504.0m (134.5%) | $567.0m (9.0%) | 22.3% (90.8%) | $3.38 (164.1%) |
| 2018 | $2.7b (19.9%) | $639.0m (26.8%) | $737.0m (30.0%) | 23.6% (5.7%) | $4.81 (42.3%) |
| 2019 | $2.7b (-0.6%) | $604.0m (-5.5%) | $675.0m (-8.4%) | 22.4% (-5.0%) | $4.95 (2.9%) |
| 2020 | $2.1b (-22.9%) | $299.0m (-50.5%) | $446.0m (-33.9%) | 14.4% (-35.8%) | $2.62 (-47.1%) |
| 2021 | $2.4b (15.4%) | $442.0m (47.8%) | $460.0m (3.1%) | 18.4% (28.1%) | $4.13 (57.6%) |
| 2022 | $2.8b (15.3%) | $531.0m (20.1%) | $490.0m (6.5%) | 19.2% (4.2%) | $5.53 (33.9%) |
| 2023 | $3.0b (9.6%) | $673.0m (26.7%) | $659.0m (34.5%) | 22.2% (15.6%) | $7.48 (35.3%) |
| 2024 | $3.2b (6.3%) | $731.0m (8.6%) | $658.0m (-0.2%) | 22.7% (2.2%) | $8.40 (12.3%) |
| 2025 | $3.0b (-6.7%) | $623.0m (-14.8%) | $661.0m (0.5%) | 20.7% (-8.7%) | $7.42 (-11.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.