Discounted Cash Flow
Alto Ingredients, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.6b | $1.4m | $21.2m | 0.1% | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $1.6b (0.5%) | $-35.0m (-2564.0%) | $15.6m (-26.3%) | -2.1% (-2552.7%) | $-0.85 |
| 2018 | $1.5b (-7.2%) | $-60.3m (-72.4%) | $-13.6m (-186.9%) | -4.0% (-85.7%) | $-1.42 (-67.1%) |
| 2019 | $1.4b (-6.0%) | $-88.9m (-47.6%) | $-26.6m (-96.1%) | -6.2% (-56.9%) | $-1.90 (-33.8%) |
| 2020 | $897.0m (-37.0%) | $-15.1m (83.0%) | $65.2m (344.7%) | -1.7% (73.0%) | $-0.28 (85.3%) |
| 2021 | $1.2b (34.7%) | $46.1m (404.9%) | $10.4m (-84.0%) | 3.8% (326.4%) | $0.62 (321.4%) |
| 2022 | $1.3b (10.6%) | $-41.6m (-190.3%) | $-31.7m (-403.7%) | -3.1% (-181.6%) | $-0.60 (-196.8%) |
| 2023 | $1.2b (-8.4%) | $-28.0m (32.7%) | $-7.5m (76.3%) | -2.3% (26.5%) | $-0.40 (33.3%) |
| 2024 | $965.3m (-21.1%) | $-59.0m (-110.6%) | $-14.6m (-94.3%) | -6.1% (-166.8%) | $-0.82 (-105.0%) |
| 2025 | $917.9m (-4.9%) | $13.3m (122.6%) | $8.6m (159.3%) | 1.5% (123.8%) | $0.16 (119.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.