Discounted Cash Flow

Autoliv Inc.

ALV · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $10.1b $567.1m $361.6m 5.6% $6.43
2017 $10.4b (3.1%) $427.1m (-24.7%) $355.8m (-1.6%) 4.1% (-26.9%) $4.88 (-24.1%)
2018 $8.7b (-16.4%) $190.4m (-55.4%) $30.6m (-91.4%) 2.2% (-46.7%) $2.19 (-55.1%)
2019 $8.5b (-1.5%) $461.5m (142.4%) $157.3m (414.1%) 5.4% (146.1%) $5.29 (141.6%)
2020 $7.4b (-12.9%) $186.9m (-59.5%) $505.4m (221.3%) 2.5% (-53.5%) $2.14 (-59.5%)
2021 $8.2b (10.5%) $435.0m (132.7%) $296.0m (-41.4%) 5.3% (110.6%) $4.97 (132.2%)
2022 $8.8b (7.4%) $423.0m (-2.8%) $128.0m (-56.8%) 4.8% (-9.5%) $4.86 (-2.2%)
2023 $10.5b (18.5%) $488.0m (15.4%) $409.0m (219.5%) 4.7% (-2.6%) $5.74 (18.1%)
2024 $10.4b (-0.8%) $646.0m (32.4%) $480.0m (17.4%) 6.2% (33.5%) $8.06 (40.4%)
2025 $10.8b (4.1%) $735.0m (13.8%) $716.0m (49.2%) 6.8% (9.3%) $9.59 (19.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model