Discounted Cash Flow
Applied Materials Inc. /de
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $10.8b | $1.7b | $1.1b | 15.9% | $1.56 |
| 2017 | $14.5b (34.3%) | $3.4b (99.5%) | $-1.2b (-215.9%) | 23.6% (48.6%) | $3.20 (105.1%) |
| 2018 | $17.3b (18.7%) | $3.3b (-3.5%) | $1.7b (237.1%) | 19.2% (-18.7%) | $3.27 (2.2%) |
| 2019 | $14.6b (-15.3%) | $2.7b (-18.3%) | $1.3b (-22.0%) | 18.5% (-3.5%) | $2.89 (-11.6%) |
| 2020 | $17.2b (17.8%) | $3.6b (33.7%) | $2.4b (83.7%) | 21.0% (13.6%) | $3.95 (36.7%) |
| 2021 | $23.1b (34.1%) | $5.9b (62.7%) | $3.4b (40.3%) | 25.5% (21.4%) | $6.47 (63.8%) |
| 2022 | $25.8b (11.8%) | $6.5b (10.8%) | $3.9b (13.7%) | 25.3% (-0.9%) | $7.49 (15.8%) |
| 2023 | $26.5b (2.8%) | $6.9b (5.1%) | $7.0b (79.9%) | 25.9% (2.2%) | $8.16 (8.9%) |
| 2024 | $27.2b (2.5%) | $7.2b (4.7%) | $5.1b (-27.6%) | 26.4% (2.1%) | $8.68 (6.4%) |
| 2025 | $28.4b (4.4%) | $7.0b (-2.5%) | $1.9b (-62.6%) | 24.7% (-6.6%) | $8.71 (0.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.