Discounted Cash Flow
Ambarella Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $310.3m | $57.8m | $110.6m | 18.6% | $1.77 |
| 2018 | $295.4m (-4.8%) | $18.9m (-67.4%) | $81.7m (-26.1%) | 6.4% (-65.7%) | $0.57 (-67.8%) |
| 2019 | $227.8m (-22.9%) | $-30.4m (-261.5%) | $21.5m (-73.7%) | -13.4% (-309.5%) | $-0.93 (-263.2%) |
| 2020 | $228.7m (0.4%) | $-44.8m (-47.1%) | $37.6m (74.6%) | -19.6% (-46.5%) | $-1.35 (-45.2%) |
| 2021 | $223.0m (-2.5%) | $-59.8m (-33.5%) | $28.8m (-23.3%) | -26.8% (-36.9%) | $-1.72 (-27.4%) |
| 2022 | $331.9m (48.8%) | $-26.4m (55.8%) | $-79.9m (-377.1%) | -8.0% (70.3%) | $-0.72 (58.1%) |
| 2023 | $337.6m (1.7%) | $-65.4m (-147.6%) | $29.0m (136.3%) | -19.4% (-143.4%) | $-1.70 (-136.1%) |
| 2024 | $226.5m (-32.9%) | $-169.4m (-159.1%) | $7.0m (-75.7%) | -74.8% (-286.2%) | $-4.25 (-150.0%) |
| 2025 | $284.9m (25.8%) | $-117.1m (30.9%) | $23.5m (232.8%) | -41.1% (45.0%) | $-2.84 (33.2%) |
| 2026 | $390.7m (37.2%) | $-75.9m (35.2%) | $58.0m (147.3%) | -19.4% (52.8%) | $-1.78 (37.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.