Discounted Cash Flow
Ambow Education Holding Ltd. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $412.0m | $-763.3k | $1.1m | -0.2% | $-0.93 |
| 2017 | $68.2m (-83.4%) | $1.1m (238.9%) | $3.0m (176.7%) | 1.6% (939.0%) | $1.20 (229.0%) |
| 2018 | $77.3m (13.3%) | $971.6k (-8.4%) | $3.8m (25.9%) | 1.3% (-19.1%) | $0.16 (-86.7%) |
| 2019 | $83.9m (8.5%) | $403.1k (-58.5%) | $-2.8m (-174.3%) | 0.5% (-61.8%) | $-0.33 (-306.2%) |
| 2020 | $81.5m (-2.8%) | $-8.2m (-2127.2%) | $284.8k (110.1%) | -10.0% (-2185.5%) | $-0.22 (33.3%) |
| 2021 | $78.0m (-4.4%) | $6.8m (182.9%) | $-3.6m (-1371.7%) | 8.7% (186.7%) | $0.01 (104.5%) |
| 2022 | $14.8m (-81.0%) | $-4.9m (-172.9%) | $-6.4m (-75.9%) | -33.3% (-482.9%) | $-0.19 (-2000.0%) |
| 2023 | $9.2m (-38.3%) | $-471.7k (90.4%) | $-3.3m (48.9%) | -5.1% (84.5%) | $-0.06 (68.4%) |
| 2024 | $9.4m (2.5%) | $-777.1k (-64.7%) | $-178.2k (94.5%) | -8.3% (-60.7%) | $0.01 (109.0%) |
| 2025 | $9.5m (0.8%) | $-663.8k (14.6%) | $-663.8k (-272.6%) | -7.0% (15.3%) | $0.02 (340.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.