Discounted Cash Flow

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. Foreign

AMBP · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — erratic_earnings_5_sign_flips

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2019 $3.3b $-15.0m $176.0m -0.4% $-0.08
2020 $3.5b (3.2%) $140.0m (1033.3%) $71.0m (-59.7%) 4.1% (1004.4%) $0.22 (375.0%)
2021 $4.1b (17.5%) $-188.0m (-234.3%) $-221.0m (-411.3%) -4.6% (-214.3%) $-0.39 (-277.3%)
2022 $4.7b (15.6%) $256.0m (236.2%) $-380.0m (-71.9%) 5.5% (217.8%) $0.38 (197.4%)
2023 $4.8b (2.6%) $-71.0m (-127.7%) $248.0m (165.3%) -1.5% (-127.0%) $-0.12 (-131.6%)
2024 $4.9b (2.0%) $10.0m (114.1%) $283.0m (14.1%) 0.2% (113.8%) $-0.05 (58.3%)
2025 $5.5b (12.0%) $4.0m (-60.0%) $276.0m (-2.5%) 0.1% (-64.3%) $-0.02 (60.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

erratic_earnings_5_sign_flips

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.