Discounted Cash Flow

Amcor Plc.

AMCR · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $9.1b $564.0m $529.6m 6.2% $0.49
2018 $9.3b (2.4%) $575.2m (2.0%) $506.4m (-4.4%) 6.2% (-0.4%) $0.50 (2.0%)
2019 $9.5b (1.5%) $430.2m (-25.2%) $443.9m (-12.3%) 4.5% (-26.3%) $0.36 (-28.0%)
2020 $12.5b (31.8%) $612.2m (42.3%) $984.7m (121.8%) 4.9% (8.0%) $0.39 (7.5%)
2021 $12.9b (3.2%) $939.0m (53.4%) $993.0m (0.8%) 7.3% (48.7%) $0.60 (56.1%)
2022 $14.5b (13.1%) $805.0m (-14.3%) $999.0m (0.6%) 5.5% (-24.2%) $0.53 (-11.9%)
2023 $14.7b (1.0%) $1.0b (30.2%) $735.0m (-26.4%) 7.1% (28.9%) $0.71 (33.3%)
2024 $13.6b (-7.2%) $730.0m (-30.3%) $829.0m (12.8%) 5.4% (-25.0%) $0.51 (-28.8%)
2025 $15.0b (10.0%) $511.0m (-30.0%) $810.0m (-2.3%) 3.4% (-36.4%) $0.32 (-36.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model