Discounted Cash Flow
American Homes 4 Rent REIT
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | — | $-33.5m | $278.9m | — | $0.20 |
| 2017 | $954.8m | $-22.1m (34.0%) | $-22.1m (-107.9%) | -2.3% | $0.20 (0.0%) |
| 2018 | $1.1b (12.4%) | $23.5m (206.0%) | $23.5m (206.0%) | 2.2% (194.4%) | $0.08 (-60.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.1b (6.6%) | $85.9m (266.0%) | $457.9m (1850.8%) | 7.5% (243.4%) | $0.29 (262.5%) |
| 2020 | $1.2b (3.5%) | $85.2m (-0.8%) | $474.1m (3.5%) | 7.2% (-4.1%) | $0.28 (-3.4%) |
| 2021 | $1.3b (10.2%) | $135.3m (58.7%) | $595.2m (25.5%) | 10.4% (44.0%) | $0.42 (50.0%) |
| 2022 | $1.5b (14.3%) | $250.8m (85.4%) | $526.7m (-11.5%) | 16.8% (62.2%) | $0.72 (71.4%) |
| 2023 | $1.6b (8.9%) | $366.2m (46.0%) | $604.5m (14.8%) | 22.6% (34.1%) | $1.01 (40.3%) |
| 2024 | $1.7b (6.5%) | $398.5m (8.8%) | $689.8m (14.1%) | 23.1% (2.2%) | $1.08 (6.9%) |
| 2025 | $1.9b (7.0%) | $439.0m (10.2%) | $746.1m (8.2%) | 23.7% (2.9%) | $1.18 (9.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.