Discounted Cash Flow
Ameresco, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | $630.8m | $5.5m | $-50.9m | 0.9% | $0.06 |
| 2016 | $651.2m (3.2%) | $35.0k (-99.4%) | $-60.9m (-19.7%) | 0.0% (-99.4%) | $0.26 (333.3%) |
| 2017 | $717.2m (10.1%) | $4.0m (11280.0%) | $-139.4m (-129.0%) | 0.6% (10233.9%) | $0.82 (215.4%) |
| 2018 | $787.1m (9.8%) | $407.0k (-89.8%) | $-57.1m (59.0%) | 0.1% (-90.7%) | $0.83 (1.2%) |
| 2019 | $866.9m (10.1%) | $4.1m (916.0%) | $-203.0m (-255.2%) | 0.5% (822.5%) | $0.95 (14.5%) |
| 2020 | $1.0b (19.1%) | $-2.9m (-169.4%) | $-104.8m (48.4%) | -0.3% (-158.3%) | $1.13 (18.9%) |
| 2021 | $1.2b (17.8%) | $-9.7m (-239.1%) | $-177.2m (-69.1%) | -0.8% (-188.0%) | $1.38 (22.1%) |
| 2022 | $1.8b (50.1%) | $-3.6m (62.8%) | $-343.6m (-93.9%) | -0.2% (75.2%) | $1.83 (32.6%) |
| 2023 | $1.4b (-24.7%) | $-1.4m (60.4%) | $-75.7m (78.0%) | -0.1% (47.5%) | $1.20 (-34.4%) |
| 2024 | $1.8b (28.8%) | $2.8m (296.4%) | $113.3m (249.7%) | 0.2% (252.6%) | $1.08 (-10.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.