Discounted Cash Flow
Amerisafe Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $396.7m | $77.9m | $112.6m | 19.6% | $4.08 |
| 2017 | $375.2m (-5.4%) | $46.2m (-40.6%) | $130.3m (15.8%) | 12.3% (-37.2%) | $2.41 (-40.9%) |
| 2018 | $377.8m (0.7%) | $71.6m (54.9%) | $97.1m (-25.5%) | 19.0% (53.9%) | $3.73 (54.8%) |
| 2019 | $370.4m (-2.0%) | $92.7m (29.4%) | $77.8m (-19.9%) | 25.0% (32.0%) | $4.82 (29.2%) |
| 2020 | $339.5m (-8.3%) | $86.6m (-6.6%) | $62.5m (-19.7%) | 25.5% (1.9%) | $4.49 (-6.8%) |
| 2021 | $315.9m (-6.9%) | $65.8m (-24.1%) | $36.7m (-41.3%) | 20.8% (-18.4%) | $3.40 (-24.3%) |
| 2022 | $294.7m (-6.7%) | $55.6m (-15.4%) | $26.1m (-28.8%) | 18.9% (-9.4%) | $2.89 (-15.0%) |
| 2023 | $306.9m (4.1%) | $62.1m (11.7%) | $29.3m (12.2%) | 20.2% (7.3%) | $3.24 (12.1%) |
| 2024 | $309.0m (0.7%) | $55.4m (-10.7%) | $23.4m (-20.3%) | 17.9% (-11.4%) | $2.91 (-10.2%) |
| 2025 | $317.3m (2.7%) | $47.1m (-15.0%) | $8.9m (-61.8%) | 14.9% (-17.2%) | $2.48 (-14.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.