Discounted Cash Flow

Amtd Idea Group ADR

AMTD · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — no_upward_trend_net_income_yr1_1096452084.0_gte_yrN_37101000.0_window_5

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2018 $723.2m $468.1m $79.1m 64.7%
2019 $1.2b (66.5%) $938.3m (100.5%) $709.5m (797.0%) 77.9% (20.4%)
2020 $1.1b (-7.1%) $1.1b (13.0%) $2.0b (181.0%) 94.8% (21.6%)
2021 $1.4b (25.0%) $1.1b (3.4%) $434.8m (-78.2%) 78.4% (-17.2%) $1.24
2022 $1.4b (-1.9%) $1.1b (1.2%) $209.2m (-51.9%) 80.9% (3.2%) $0.94 (-24.2%)
2023 $38.2m (-97.2%) $134.1m (-87.9%) $38.2m (-81.7%) 350.7% (333.4%) $0.74 (-21.3%)
2024 $45.4m (18.7%) $54.2m (-59.6%) $-1.6m (-104.1%) 119.4% (-65.9%) $0.24 (-67.6%)
2025 $101.2m (123.0%) $37.1m (-31.6%) $7.9m (604.8%) 36.7% (-69.3%) $0.16 (-33.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

no_upward_trend_net_income_yr1_1096452084.0_gte_yrN_37101000.0_window_5

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.