Discounted Cash Flow
Amazon.com Inc.
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $136.0b | $2.4b | $9.7b | 1.7% | $5.01 |
| 2017 | $177.9b (30.8%) | $3.0b (27.9%) | $6.5b (-33.2%) | 1.7% (-2.2%) | $6.32 (26.1%) |
| 2018 | $232.9b (30.9%) | $10.1b (232.1%) | $17.3b (167.0%) | 4.3% (153.6%) | $20.68 (227.2%) |
| 2019 | $280.5b (20.5%) | $11.6b (15.0%) | $-13.5b (-178.1%) | 4.1% (-4.5%) | $23.46 (13.4%) |
| 2020 | $386.1b (37.6%) | $21.3b (84.1%) | $25.9b (292.0%) | 5.5% (33.8%) | $42.64 (81.8%) |
| 2021 | $469.8b (21.7%) | $33.4b (56.4%) | $-14.7b (-156.8%) | 7.1% (28.5%) | $65.96 (54.7%) |
| 2022 | $514.0b (9.4%) | $-2.7b (-108.2%) | $-16.9b (-14.7%) | -0.5% (-107.5%) | $-0.27 (-100.4%) |
| 2023 | $574.8b (11.8%) | $30.4b (1217.7%) | $32.2b (290.7%) | 5.3% (1099.5%) | $2.95 (1192.6%) |
| 2024 | $638.0b (11.0%) | $59.2b (94.7%) | $32.9b (2.1%) | 9.3% (75.5%) | $5.66 (91.9%) |
| 2025 | $716.9b (12.4%) | $77.7b (31.1%) | $7.7b (-76.6%) | 10.8% (16.7%) | $7.29 (28.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.