Discounted Cash Flow
Autonation, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $21.6b | $430.5m | $271.5m | 2.0% | $4.16 |
| 2017 | $21.5b (-0.3%) | $434.6m (1.0%) | $230.0m (-15.3%) | 2.0% (1.3%) | $4.43 (6.5%) |
| 2018 | $21.4b (-0.6%) | $396.0m (-8.9%) | $124.0m (-46.1%) | 1.8% (-8.4%) | $4.34 (-2.0%) |
| 2019 | $21.3b (-0.4%) | $450.0m (13.6%) | $499.9m (303.1%) | 2.1% (14.0%) | $4.98 (14.7%) |
| 2020 | $20.4b (-4.4%) | $381.6m (-15.2%) | $1.1b (110.4%) | 1.9% (-11.3%) | $4.30 (-13.7%) |
| 2021 | $25.8b (26.7%) | $1.4b (259.8%) | $1.4b (34.3%) | 5.3% (183.9%) | $18.31 (325.8%) |
| 2022 | $27.0b (4.4%) | $1.4b (0.3%) | $1.3b (-5.2%) | 5.1% (-3.9%) | $24.30 (32.7%) |
| 2023 | $26.9b (-0.1%) | $1.0b (-25.9%) | $313.7m (-76.6%) | 3.8% (-25.8%) | $22.72 (-6.5%) |
| 2024 | $26.8b (-0.7%) | $692.2m (-32.2%) | $-13.8m (-104.4%) | 2.6% (-31.7%) | $16.92 (-25.5%) |
| 2025 | $27.6b (3.2%) | $649.1m (-6.2%) | $-197.5m (-1331.2%) | 2.3% (-9.2%) | $17.04 (0.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.