Discounted Cash Flow
Arista Networks, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.1b | $184.2m | $110.0m | 16.3% | $2.66 |
| 2017 | $1.6b (45.8%) | $423.2m (129.8%) | $616.3m (460.2%) | 25.7% (57.6%) | $5.85 (119.9%) |
| 2018 | $2.2b (30.7%) | $328.1m (-22.5%) | $479.3m (-22.2%) | 15.3% (-40.7%) | $4.39 (-25.0%) |
| 2019 | $2.4b (12.1%) | $859.9m (162.1%) | $947.3m (97.6%) | 35.7% (133.9%) | $11.26 (156.5%) |
| 2020 | $2.3b (-3.9%) | $634.6m (-26.2%) | $719.7m (-24.0%) | 27.4% (-23.2%) | $8.35 (-25.8%) |
| 2021 | $2.9b (27.2%) | $840.9m (32.5%) | $951.1m (32.1%) | 28.5% (4.2%) | $2.74 (-67.2%) |
| 2022 | $4.4b (48.6%) | $1.4b (60.8%) | $448.2m (-52.9%) | 30.9% (8.2%) | $4.41 (60.9%) |
| 2023 | $5.9b (33.8%) | $2.1b (54.3%) | $2.0b (346.2%) | 35.6% (15.4%) | $6.75 (53.1%) |
| 2024 | $7.0b (19.5%) | $2.9b (36.6%) | $3.7b (83.8%) | 40.7% (14.3%) | $2.27 (-66.4%) |
| 2025 | $9.0b (28.6%) | $3.5b (23.1%) | $4.3b (15.7%) | 39.0% (-4.3%) | $2.79 (22.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.