Discounted Cash Flow
Smith A O Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.7b | $326.5m | $365.9m | 12.2% | $1.87 |
| 2017 | $3.0b (11.6%) | $296.5m (-9.2%) | $232.2m (-36.5%) | 9.9% (-18.6%) | $1.72 (-8.0%) |
| 2018 | $3.2b (6.4%) | $444.2m (49.8%) | $363.7m (56.6%) | 13.9% (40.8%) | $2.60 (51.2%) |
| 2019 | $3.0b (-6.1%) | $370.0m (-16.7%) | $391.8m (7.7%) | 12.4% (-11.3%) | $2.24 (-13.8%) |
| 2020 | $2.9b (-3.3%) | $344.9m (-6.8%) | $505.3m (29.0%) | 11.9% (-3.6%) | $2.13 (-4.9%) |
| 2021 | $3.5b (22.2%) | $487.1m (41.2%) | $566.0m (12.0%) | 13.8% (15.5%) | $3.05 (43.2%) |
| 2022 | $3.8b (6.1%) | $235.7m (-51.6%) | $321.1m (-43.3%) | 6.3% (-54.4%) | $1.52 (-50.2%) |
| 2023 | $3.9b (2.6%) | $556.6m (136.1%) | $597.7m (86.1%) | 14.4% (130.1%) | $3.71 (144.1%) |
| 2024 | $3.8b (-0.9%) | $533.6m (-4.1%) | $473.8m (-20.7%) | 14.0% (-3.3%) | $3.65 (-1.6%) |
| 2025 | $3.8b (0.3%) | $546.2m (2.4%) | $546.0m (15.2%) | 14.3% (2.0%) | $3.87 (6.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.