Discounted Cash Flow
Arko Petroleum Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $40.8m | $19.6m | $20.5m | 48.1% | $0.59 |
| 2019 | $43.2m (6.0%) | $15.4m (-21.6%) | $24.0m (17.1%) | 35.6% (-26.1%) | $0.46 (-22.0%) |
| 2020 | $29.6m (-31.5%) | $5.9m (-61.4%) | $12.4m (-48.4%) | 20.1% (-43.6%) | $0.18 (-60.9%) |
| 2021 | $32.7m (10.5%) | $-16.4m (-376.9%) | $4.3m (-65.6%) | -50.3% (-350.6%) | $-0.50 (-377.8%) |
| 2022 | $108.9m (233.1%) | $32.6m (298.5%) | $50.9m (1095.2%) | 30.0% (159.6%) | $0.97 (294.0%) |
| 2023 | $128.5m (18.0%) | $35.2m (7.9%) | $44.3m (-13.0%) | 27.4% (-8.5%) | $1.05 (8.2%) |
| 2024 | $85.9m (-33.2%) | $4.1m (-88.4%) | $11.8m (-73.3%) | 4.8% (-82.7%) | $0.12 (-88.6%) |
| 2025 | $85.8m (-0.0%) | $1.5m (-63.9%) | $1.5m (-87.5%) | 1.7% (-63.9%) | $0.03 (-75.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.