Discounted Cash Flow
American Public Education Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $313.1m | $24.2m | $42.2m | 7.7% | $1.50 |
| 2017 | $299.2m (-4.4%) | $21.1m (-12.6%) | $37.1m (-12.1%) | 7.1% (-8.5%) | $1.30 (-13.3%) |
| 2018 | $297.7m (-0.5%) | $25.6m (21.4%) | $34.7m (-6.3%) | 8.6% (22.0%) | $1.56 (20.0%) |
| 2019 | $286.3m (-3.8%) | $10.0m (-60.9%) | $31.1m (-10.5%) | 3.5% (-59.4%) | $0.62 (-60.3%) |
| 2020 | $321.8m (12.4%) | $18.8m (88.0%) | $39.9m (28.2%) | 5.8% (67.2%) | $1.27 (104.8%) |
| 2021 | $418.8m (30.1%) | $17.8m (-5.7%) | $4.4m (-88.9%) | 4.2% (-27.5%) | $0.98 (-22.8%) |
| 2022 | $606.3m (44.8%) | $-115.0m (-747.8%) | $12.8m (189.1%) | -19.0% (-547.4%) | $-6.10 (-722.4%) |
| 2023 | $600.5m (-1.0%) | $-47.3m (58.9%) | $31.6m (146.5%) | -7.9% (58.5%) | $-2.94 (51.8%) |
| 2024 | $624.6m (4.0%) | $16.1m (134.1%) | $27.8m (-12.1%) | 2.6% (132.8%) | $0.57 (119.4%) |
| 2025 | $648.9m (3.9%) | $31.6m (95.8%) | $46.1m (65.9%) | 4.9% (88.5%) | $1.40 (145.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.